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METHODOLOGY
In professional baseball it is
difficult, if not impossible, to determine the best players of all time.
Sure, we all have an idea as to their names, but really, who was better
- Mickey Mantle or Willie Mays? Ask 10 different "experts" for
their Top 20 of all time and you will get 10 different answers.
How much does defense count? Would you rather a player with a .450
on base percentage and a .550 slugging percentage or a .400 OBP and .650
SLG? What about league quality and the overall era in which the
player contributed in? These questions remain without a definitive
answer, even today in the new Sabermetric world. Now try adding in
pitchers - who would you rather have, Pedro Martinez or Albert Pujols
and the waters are muddied even further.
The fact that we can't answer all of
these has led to interesting choices of induction into the National
Baseball Hall of Fame in Cooperstown, NY. Arguments, sometimes
vehement ones, erupt each year as the voting results are made public
(Sutter before Goose, really?). In the end nobody is completely
satisfied.
Calculation
Fantasy Baseball is a different
animal. We know there are 10 scoring categories (standard 5x5
leagues). We know there are 14 batters and 9 pitchers. We
know the construction of the roster. In fact, we can go back and
reconstruct each season and identify how much each Run, RBI, Stolen
Base, Home Run, and hit is worth. Ditto with pitchers - each Win,
Save, Earned Run, Strike Out, and underlying WHIP calculation has a
specific value. This value is relative to both the year and
position.
Without going math geek on you, the
Fantasy Baseball Hall of Fame elects it's members through a rigorous
calculation that takes into consideration:
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How well the player performed
relative to the entire league.
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How well the player performed
relative to peers at his position.
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How difficult it was in the year
to accumulate the statistics (the standard deviation of each stat).
Well, some math is required after
all:
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A score for each player season is
determined irrespective of position.
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A second score is determined for
each player season based upon the position.
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These two scores are combined
using a weighting process (60% Overall, 40% Position).
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A Final Score is established for
each season of each player.
Induction
What follows next are the
qualifications for enshrinement. Fantasy Baseball is a "what have you
done for me lately" enterprise. A great player for 5 years is
considerably more valuable than an above average player for 15 years.
As such, the core metric for induction is a players 5-year peak score.
Simply, the scores for a players best 5 seasons are totaled.
We can't lose sight of longevity
however. Alex Rodriguez's peak score is 81.2. Barry Bonds
has a peak score of 77.6. However, Bonds has 16 additional seasons
were he was "fantasy worthy", this is more than double that of Rodriguez
who has 'just' 7. This is important, and important enough to rank
Bonds as the better Fantasy Player over his career. How do we
determine this? Each season in addition to the 5-peak years that
are "fantasy worthy" adds 1% to the players score. To finalize the
example, this results in the following:
FBHOF Score Peak Score Career Total
BONDS
90.0 77.6
232.0
RODRIGUEZ
86.9 81.2
161.4
Of course, Rodriguez is still in his
prime and adding to both his peak score and "fantasy worthy" seasons
each and every year.
Tiered Levels
The Fantasy Baseball Hall of Fame
also recognizes that not all Hall of Famer's are created equal. To
account for this, each player is elected not only to the Hall, but to
one of two tiers within the Hall: The Greats or the he Elite.
Any player with a FBHOF score of 80 or better is considered part of the
Elite.
Eligibility
Finally, while rudimentary versions
of fantasy baseball have been around for generations, the true
Grandfather of Fantasy Baseball - Dan Okrent - came up with the idea of
drafting a team and basing the scoring/standings upon in-season
statistics. In honor and recognition of his brilliance, we'll only
be inducting players from the 1980 season onward.
Scoring
For reference purposes and to make it
a bit easier to understand the scoring, here are a few small tables of
what to expect:
Single Season
19.40 - Highest Batting Score
18.80 - Highest Pitching Score
Final FBHOF Score
90.0 - Highest Batting Score
94.5 - Highest Pitching Score
5 Season Peak
81.2 - Highest Batting Score
86.0 - Highest Pitching Score
Career Score
232.0 - Highest Batting Score
174.3 - Highest Pitching Score
Other Interesting Notes
- All players with a FBHOF score over 70
are in the Hall of Fame.
- A single season score above 15 is
considered superb. There are 39 instances.
- A single season score above 10 is
considered very good.
- Any single season score above 0.0 means
the player had some, albeit minimal, fantasy value.
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